[time-nuts] They're baaaack!
Charles P. Steinmetz
charles_steinmetz at lavabit.com
Tue Oct 2 07:14:37 UTC 2012
>Are LightSquared still trying to get some value from their contributions?
Of course they are. Lightsquared ("LS") bought low-valued spectrum
at fire-sale prices, speculating that with rule changes and waivers
they could use it for a terrestrial broadband network, in which case
its value would increase by a factor of 100, 1k, or 1M. If there is
any chance whatsoever to still reap that windfall, LS will press it.
The spectrum LS bought is allocated to the Mobile Satellite Service
("MSS"). Until relatively recently, this spectrum could only be used
for satellite networks. Because mobile satellite service has never
caught on due to the high cost of the space segment and some
technical limitations of delivering good broadband performance by
satellite, the value of MSS spectrum has been much lower than the
Commercial Mobile Radio Service spectrum now used for mobile
broadband services (pennies on the dollar, or less).
The FCC is convinced that the US will founder as a backwater and will
be unable to climb out of the recession if it doesn't have more
mobile broadband spectrum, and soon. (I believe this is a faulty
notion at best, trending toward absurd, and have articulated my
reasons here a number of times, so I won't repeat them now. Check
the archives if you are interested.) So, the FCC is racing to make
more spectrum available for mobile broadband service. It thought
that the relative wasteland of underutilized MSS spectrum would be
low-hanging fruit, so it indicated in its National Broadband Plan and
some later decisions and Orders that terrestrial use of the spectrum
should be considered.
Seeing the opportunity to buy cheap MSS spectrum (including buying
some MSS companies out of bankruptcy) and convert it to a much, much
more valuable use, thereby reaping a windfall, LS did just
that. However, as we have seen, the technical problems surrounding
repurposing satellite spectrum have thrown a spanner in the works of
the initial plan. As I have commented here before, how the FCC and
whoever did the LS due diligence all missed the obvious problems with
putting powerful terrestrial transmitters adjacent to receivers
listening to satellites is beyond me, particularly when the issue of
SDARS (satellite radio) ancillary terrestrial transmitters
interfering with mobile networks should have been fresh in everyone's minds.
To summarize -- LS bought cheap spectrum that nobody much wanted
because of the difficulty of providing MSS services. The spectrum is
still worth about what LS paid for it, *as MSS spectrum.* But LS
apparently feels entitled to receive not just the value of the
spectrum *as MSS spectrum,* but rather the value it would have *if it
could be used for mobile broadband service.* Put another way, they
want their speculative gamble covered. By whom? Well, that would be
us, the folks who are still in the middle of bailing out the
speculators of the last decade. LS now wants to swap its spectrum
for government spectrum that would be useful for mobile broadband service.
Now, on the one hand, I think having available the "wholesale only"
service LS says it wants to provide would be a Good Thing. On the
other hand, I do not think we, the people, should subsidize it. LS
took a gamble, and lost. That should be the end of it. But there
any number of politicians who, like the FCC, are panicked that the US
is "behind" in the mobile broadband race and think more mobile
broadband will restart the economy (again, I say, Dream On). So, LS
has allies that want to cover its bet for their own reasons.
Only time will tell how it works out. If you want to have input into
the process, at this point lobbying your congressional delegation and
the appropriate House and Senate committee members appears to be your best bet.
Best regards,
Charles
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